Fed
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy
Topic
92.3%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 42
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The speaker predicts that the Federal Reserve will continue to increase the money supply.
"I have no doubt the Fed will just continue printing more money."
Jan 5, 2026
Correct
The Federal Reserve has shifted from a tightening monetary cycle to an easing cycle, which is expected to support higher asset prices.
"We are no longer in a tightening cycle. We're in an easing cycle which supports higher asset prices."
Dec 23, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will most likely not cut rates if the labor market continues to stay the same and inflation begins to rise.
"if the labor market continues to stay the same and inflation begins to rise, that is not something t..."
Dec 15, 2025
Pending
Predicted there is a 75% probability that the Federal Reserve will pause interest rate changes within the next six weeks.
"75% probability that the Federal Reserve is going to pause."
Dec 15, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the Federal Reserve plans to slightly reduce interest rates in 2026.
"it looks as though they only plan to reduce interest rates slightly in 2026 because they think unemp..."
Dec 10, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will purchase $40 billion of US Treasuries over the next 30 days (from 2025-12-10).
"they also revealed that they're going to be purchasing $40 billion over the next 30 days of US treas..."
Dec 10, 2025
Correct
Predicted the Federal Reserve will begin unofficial Quantitative Easing (QE) in January, buying back $45 billion of debt each month.
"The Federal Reserve is expected to begin buying back an all-time high of $45 billion of debt each mo..."
Dec 9, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to continue cutting interest rates and implement quantitative easing (money printing).
"They're going to keep on cutting interest rates and they're they're going to enter into a new phase ..."
Dec 1, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates before the end of 2025, specifically on December 10, 2025.
"Powell's going to have no choice but to actually cut before the end of the year. ... The rates actua..."
Nov 4, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve will cease reducing asset purchases on December 1, 2025, implying a potential shift towards quantitative easing.
"On December 1st, 2025, the Fed is going to end the reduction of asset purchases."
Oct 30, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve plans to resume money printing to avoid credit tightening.
"the Federal Reserve Bank is going to start printing money again to prevent tightness in credit."
Oct 30, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is predicted to print trillions of dollars in 2026, leading to increased inflation.
"My estimation is that it's going to be trillions of dollars in not so far future, probably 2026. So ..."
Oct 29, 2025
Pending
Starting in December, the Federal Reserve will enter a new phase of normalization by holding its balance sheet steady for a period, while reserve balances decrease and other liabilities like currency increase.
"As a share of nominal GDP, our balance sheet has fallen from 35% to about 21%. In December, we'll en..."
Oct 29, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is expected to end its monetary tightening cycle imminently and begin quantitative easing in 2026.
"The Federal Reserve will be ending their monetary tightening cycle very soon. Word on the street is ..."
Oct 27, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve will soon end quantitative tightening.
"They're about to end quantitative tightening for the first time in years."
Oct 27, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is predicted to resume money printing (quantitative easing) in 2026, leading to increased inflation.
"the Federal Reserve will be turning the money printers back on. So, get ready for more inflation. So..."
Oct 16, 2025
Pending
The sequence of Federal Reserve actions will be: interest rate cuts, then cessation of tightening, followed by quantitative easing (money printing) in 2026.
"first comes the interest rate cuts and then they're going to stop the tightening which is right arou..."
Oct 16, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve's current rate cutting cycle will involve multiple interest rate cuts.
"the Federal Reserve just started the rate cutting cycle, meaning multiple cuts."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve has begun a rate-cutting cycle and will implement multiple cuts.
"the Federal Reserve just started the rate cutting cycle, meaning multiple cuts."
Sep 27, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement a 25 basis point rate cut on September 17, 2025.
"As of right now, there's a 91% probability for a 25 basis point rate cut and a 9% probability for a ..."
Sep 11, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates on September 17th (next week) with almost 100% probability, based on the Fed rate monitor tool.
"the Fed rate monitor tool is pretty much signaling almost a 100% probability that the Federal Reserv..."
Sep 8, 2025
Pending
The speaker predicts the Federal Reserve will engage in quantitative easing in 2026, a prediction they made in 2024.
"So, I'm guessing 2026, which is actually what I predicted in 2024."
Aug 25, 2025
Pending
In late 2025 or 2026, the Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates to support the labor market, but inflation concerns (potentially driven by tariffs) may prevent them from making sufficient cuts, leading to future economic problems.
"I think this will probably more so play out um in 2026, maybe the end of 2025, where I think it migh..."
Aug 1, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates in September (2025), unless inflation data proves to be exceptionally strong.
"I'm going to guess the Fed's going to cut in September. The only thing that would make them not cut,..."
Aug 1, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates because inflation is softening, rather than due to faltering economic growth.
"with the Fed likely to cut because inflation is softening, not because growth is faltering."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement a 50 basis point rate cut in 2025 (either in July, September, or a combination), which will cause a significant market rally.
"if we get a 50 basis point rate cut this year, which I think we will, whether it's July or September..."
Jun 24, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is predicted to avoid aggressive monetary loosening until his tenure ends in 2026, aiming to prevent a resurgence of inflation.
"I don't I only have to be around till 2026. I'm not going to throw the kitchen sink in in terms of m..."
Apr 11, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates.
"this is exactly what the FED is looking for they're going to cut rates"
Mar 12, 2025
Pending
If economic conditions worsen, the Federal Reserve will be compelled to cut interest rates.
"The good news is that when things get bad, the Federal Reserve has to cut."
Mar 9, 2025
Pending
Prediction of two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve within the current year.
"he thinks we could potentially see two uh rate Cuts this year from the FED"
Feb 24, 2025
Pending
Expectations for the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet runoff (Quantitative Tightening) by mid-2025.
"survey respondents on average saw the process of runoff concluding by mid 2025"
Feb 24, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will likely end Quantitative Tightening only after a significant drop in the market.
"until you get a large enough drop in the market for the FED to want to end quantitative tightening t..."
Feb 3, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is predicted to pivot from quantitative tightening to quantitative easing in 2025.
"I think we'll probably see something like that happen this year the pivot by the fed from quantitati..."
Jan 28, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates by January 29, 2025.
"there's a 0% chance the FED will cut by tomorrow we're speaking like yeah literally by tomorrow um i..."
Jan 28, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is most likely to lower interest rates to 4.5% at its December 2024 meeting.
"If the Fed lowers rates at the December meeting to 4 a half% which does seem like the most likely ou..."
Nov 14, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve FOMC members are expected to have more dissenting opinions regarding the pace of interest rate cuts in the future.
"I think we're now heading into a period where it wouldn't be surprising um to see maybe more differe..."
Sep 13, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve's target funds rate is predicted to decrease to a range of 3% to 4%, assuming no deep recession.
"my guess is that the FED funds rate unless we go into a deep recession right the FED fronts rate I'm..."
Sep 12, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement a 25 basis point interest rate cut at its immediate upcoming meeting.
"I've been in the camp for a long time that they're likely just going to cut 25 basis points the very..."
Sep 12, 2024
Pending
Predicted the Federal Reserve will be very hesitant to cut interest rates too much too soon.
"my guess is that they are going to be very hesitant to cut too much too soon"
Aug 14, 2024
Correct
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement rate cuts, likely starting in September 2024.
"I'm guessing that the FED is going to come in with some rate Cuts pretty soon, you know probably in ..."
Aug 3, 2024
Pending
Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged on July 31, 2024.
"so base case is that they're going to keep rates the same"
Jul 31, 2024
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will pivot its monetary policy within a few months (by late 2024).
"just a few more months you're likely going to see this pop up here and then the FED pivots"
May 12, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates sometime later in 2024.
"we are going to cut rates it's just that I can't tell you when but sometimes sometime later this yea..."
May 4, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to implement a rate cut within a few months of April 2024, which could mark the bottom for altcoin-Bitcoin pairs.
"I'm expecting you know a potential rate cut um within a few months or so which could ultimately Mark..."
Apr 30, 2024
Pending
Global financial instability (e.g., countries selling US Treasuries) could force the Federal Reserve to implement more relaxed monetary policy sooner.
"this could force the FED to bring forward uh more easing uh like a more relaxed policy"
Apr 29, 2024
Pending
If the unemployment rate doesn't significantly increase in April 2024, the first Federal Reserve rate cuts are predicted to occur 'later in the year' (2024).
"if that doesn't happen then we might not get Cuts until later in the year"
Mar 15, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted not to cut interest rates at its March 2024 meeting.
"the fed's probably not going to Pivot at their March meeting"
Mar 15, 2024
Pending
Due to sticky 3% inflation, the Federal Reserve is predicted to reiterate its commitment to keeping interest rates higher until a durable path to 2% inflation is evident at its upcoming FOMC meeting (March 2024).
"my guess is they do and my guess is because of inflation staying sticky at 3% they will likely just ..."
Mar 15, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement at least one, and likely a couple of, interest rate cuts in 2024. The effectiveness of these cuts on the labor market will be evaluated in late 2024 or early 2025.
"I am in the camp that there will like be a cut this year... the fed's probably going to to at least ..."
Mar 11, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is not likely to cut interest rates in March [2024].
"I don't think they will you know little likely not cut in March"
Feb 13, 2024
Pending